The NFL playoffs already are a success in my book, with the Kansas City Swifts missing them entirely and the Philadelphia Eagles having been shown the door Sunday.
No doubt the NFL and its shill announcers will pick other teams to build up to annoying levels, but for now we can just enjoy the games.
Attention turns to your Steelers and questions abound regarding tonight’s home game vs. the Houston Texans.
Can the Steelers win a playoff game for the first time since the 2016 season?
Can Aaron Rodgers put together good games back to back?
Can the Steelers win a 24th straight Monday Night Football home game?
My answers are no, no and no, but I’m wrong a lot regarding such matters.
The Steelers get this far a lot, but of late do nothing once arriving in the playoffs. Mike Tomlin is a career loser at 8-11 in postseason games he has coached. This is not exactly Super Seventies Steelers stuff.
The sages on espn.com all picked the Texans, giving 3.5 points, about a week ago. The spread was down to 3 points in an updated post Sunday evening, but all still were picking the Texans, to win outright and to cover that spread. Interestingly, three of four took the over 38.5 bet to hit and only one picked under.
But the Steelers are getting love elsewhere, like on si.com, where the pick is to take the Steelers and the three points, while not explicitly calling for an outright Steelers win.
I can see the Steelers hanging close, an outcome made likely by the styles of both teams, but in the end I’d expect Houston to win by more than three points.
I really liked the under last week in the season finale vs. Baltimore, which looked good until the teams inexplicably started trading touchdowns late.
This kind of outlier means I’d forget the over-under and all the prop bets, just take the Texans to win and give the points.
Part of that hinges on my anticipation that Rodgers won’t star in the game.
I was struck, while watching the Philadelphia loss Sunday, that Eagles coach Nick Sirianni looks an awful lot like Rodgers, particularly with a winter cap pulled low over the brow, emphasizing the bony face and scruffy beard.
They are contemporaries in terms of age, with Sirianni being 45 years old and Rodgers, 42. But Sirianni is coaching, not maneuvering around the pocket with his walker.
The Steelers will protect Rodgers with lots of screens and other quick passes, but that Texans defense just might track him down a time or two.
Much is made of the Steelers beating Baltimore last weekend, neatly forgetting it took a choke on an attempted field goal by the Ravens for the Steelers to prevail.
Also, emotions run high that the return of wide receiver DeKaylin Zecharius Metcalf from his two-game suspension will be the difference.
Maybe, but not likely.
Last, the Steelers are supposed to be guaranteed winners at home on Monday Night. But all streaks end, eventually.
The Houston defense is good. Quarterback C.J. Stroud, while inconsistent, tends to get it done eventually.
Texans win.